At a glanceCiphertext-only break · partial (94% of the cipher)
- The letter
- Ludovico Ridolfi to Rodrigo Ponce de León, IV duque de Arcos, viceroy of Naples: five pages wholly in cipher, 1,412 groups, with only the date in clear, “Di Roma li 8 Maggio 1646”.
- Where
- Toledo, Archivo Histórico de la Nobleza, OSUNA,C.3456,D.107 (PARES 6449375). It was the third item of catalogue entry 748. No decipherment of the time, no edition and no DECODE record (in the project’s harvested copy) were found.
- The cipher
- Numbers. 20–24 are the vowels and 25–44 the alphabet, so each vowel has two numbers; 49–98 are syllables, most of them in series of five; three-digit numbers are a nomenclator; a barred X is punctuation and a superscript dot marks a doubled consonant.
- How the key was found
- Under rules Brice Dudout fixed in advance, the key was proposed by a language model from the cipher of pages 1 to 4 alone and frozen. It was then measured once on page 5, which had been held out: 0.817 of the decoded letters fall in Italian words, against 0.487 for the best of 200 shuffled keys and 0.600 for the best of 200 shuffles of the page’s own groups. The project re-ran the measurement and got the same figures.
- What it says
- The Pope has refused Don Antonio Ronquillo passage for the five hundred horse the viceroy is sending to help the Grand Duke, but would grant it towards Milan. Then news of the French fleet, of Vendôme and the Huguenots, and of Bouillon: “il Cardinale Mazarino senpre gli fara dop[p]iar le oferte”.
- Still open
- 21 words are restored by changing or supplying one group of the transcription, and were not checked on the images; five nomenclator codes (103, 110, 115, 116, 136) have no value and the other nomenclator values rest on the sense alone; no human has checked the transcription or the reading.
- Credit
- Brice Dudout (Europe chiffrée) contributed the transcription, the key, the test, the reading and the translation. By his account the key and the reading of pages 1 to 4 were proposed by Claude Fable 5.2 in one run, and the test and page 5 were done by his Claude Opus 5.5 agents. The catalogue entry came from Daniel Bourdeau’s sweep of PARES.
01 The letter
The letter is in the Archivo Histórico de la Nobleza in Toledo, OSUNA,C.3456,D.107 (PARES description 6449375). It has five pages, wholly in cipher except the date at the end, “Di Roma li 8 Maggio 1646”. The writer is Ludovico Ridolfi and the recipient Rodrigo Ponce de León, IV duque de Arcos, viceroy of Naples. The transcription holds 1,412 groups: 1,313 on pages 1 to 4 and 99 on page 5.
It entered this project’s catalogue on 27 October 2026 as the third item of entry 748, from a sweep of PARES, scored from the hit list without the images being opened. The other two items of that entry (D.102–103 and D.104–106) are Spanish letters of Antonio Ronquillo. The contributor’s notes say that they are in other systems than D.107, that D.104 has its decipherment of the time in D.105, and that the table in D.106 does not fit this letter; the project has not checked those items, and they stay in the catalogue. A different cipher from this one, they are not covered by this page.
The contributor, Brice Dudout, found no decipherment with the letter, no other Ridolfi letter in cipher in the OSUNA fonds on PARES (28 October 2026), and no edition. His notes name two places he did not search: the Estado papers at Simancas for Rome and Genoa in 1645–46, and the Mediceo del Principato in Florence.
No image is shown on this page. The contributor used the PARES images for study only and included none, and PARES answered “too many requests” to the session that integrated his work on 11 November 2026, so no crop could be made. A line of the cipher is printed in the strip under the title.
02 The cipher and its key
The cipher is written in numbers, with no division between words. The key reads it as follows.
| Groups | Value |
|---|---|
| 20–24 | a e i o u |
| 25–44 | the alphabet in order, a b c d e f g h i l m n o p [39 not seen] q r s t u, so that each vowel has two numbers |
| 49–53, 54–58, 59–63 | ba be bi bo bu, ma … mu, la … lu |
| 65–69, 70–74, 75–79, 80–84 | na … nu, da … du, ta … tu, ga … gu |
| 85–90 (without 88), 91–95 | the f series and the z series |
| 64 and 97, 98 | che, chi |
| three-digit groups | a nomenclator: twelve codes occur, between 100 and 136, for persons, titles and places |
| X (a barred sign) | punctuation |
| a superscript dot over a group | the consonant is doubled |
The spelling of the cipher is its own: consonants are mostly written single (paso, socorso), and n stands for m before p (senpre, tenpo). The superscript dot occurs 23 times; 15 of the 21 dots on pages 1 to 4, and both dots on page 5 (vorrei, accordasse), fall on a double consonant written single.
Not every value is attested. The letters 28 d, 30 f and 35 m, and the syllables 58, 69, 79, 84 and 92–95, are filled in by the order of the alphabet and of the series, not from words read on pages 1 to 4. 47 = z was added on page 5 after the measurement. The nomenclator values are given by the sense only: 107 Gran Duca, 121 Francesi, 126 V.E., 114 Duca, 101 Sua Santità, 100 Sua Maestà, 108 Cardinale. Five codes (103, 110, 115, 116, 136) have no value.
The route to the key, as the contributor records it. The five pages were transcribed sign by sign by AI agents on 28 October 2026 and the transcription was frozen before any key existed; page 5 was set apart from then on. A homophonic letter solver and a solver for a nomenclator of frequent words failed on pages 1 to 4 the same day, and on 5 November a run of 15 probable words, tried at 4,514 compatible positions, retained none. On 11 November the transcriptions of pages 1 to 4 were sent to Claude Fable 5.2 in a single run, with notes on the shapes of the figures; it proposed the structure above and the key; on those four pages 0.876 of the decoded letters fall in Italian words, against 0.388 for the best shuffled key. The contributor’s own decoder, which applies only the letter and syllable values of that proposal, reproduces the proposer’s raw decryption of pages 1 to 4 exactly.
03 The held-out test
Page 5 was the test. The contributor states that it was never sent to the model, and that he checked the manifest of the run for this. By his account, before anyone decoded the page, the protocol was written and hashed together with the key, the decoder, the measure, the calibration, the Italian word list and the transcriptions.
The measure is a lexical cover: the share of the decoded letters of page 5 that fall inside Italian words of four letters or more, taken from this repository’s Italian word list. There is no decipherment of the time and no parallel clear text, so no letter-by-letter reference exists. Two controls were computed on the same page in the same run: 200 keys with the values shuffled among the letter codes and among the syllable codes, and 200 shuffles of the page’s own groups among their positions.
| Page 5: 99 groups, 120 decoded letters | Cover |
|---|---|
| The frozen key | 0.817 |
| 200 shuffled keys | at most 0.487 (mean 0.251) |
| 200 shuffles of the groups | at most 0.600 (mean 0.415) |
The thresholds were fixed before the measurement: a cover of at least 0.75, at least 0.25 above the best shuffled key, and at least 0.08 above the best group shuffle. All three held. So did a check of sense fixed in advance: page 4 ends on “che mi sara data subito la”, and page 5 opens with “scrittura richiesta”, which closes the sentence.
Three reservations belong with the result.
- The thresholds were made for this page size. The contributor’s usual rule asks for 0.85 and a margin of 0.30 over the best control. On 51 windows of 99 groups cut from pages 1 to 4, where the key was made, that rule rejects 44, so he calibrated lower thresholds on those windows, just under their minima (0.783, 0.256, 0.098). By the usual rule page 5 would not pass: its cover is 0.817, and it stands 0.217 above the best group shuffle.
- The page is small. 99 groups, under the 150 the contributor now asks for; the letter has no other page, and no other document in this cipher is known.
- The test covers letters and syllables only. The nomenclator values are not part of it, and a lexical cover does not check each letter.
At integration the project ran the contributor’s measuring script again on his frozen files and obtained the same output, figure for figure; the hashes he lists match the files, and the calibration and the word count reproduce as well. What cannot be verified from the repository is the order of events: that page 5 was withheld from the model, and that the hashes were made before the page was decoded. The folder arrived in a single commit, and both rest on the contributor’s statement.
04 The reading
The letter reads as connected Italian from the first page to the last. Its matter, in the order of the text:
- The passage of the cavalry. That morning the Pope refused Don Antonio Ronquillo passage for the five hundred horse that the viceroy wishes to send to the relief of the Grand Duke, but said he would grant it for the State of Milan. Ridolfi has proposed that Don Antonio accept it in that form: once the cavalry is at Forlì in the Romagna, on the straight road to Bologna, it can enter the Grand Duke’s state if he has been attacked by the French, the border being no more than twelve miles away; if not, it goes on towards Bologna and Milan. Don Antonio liked the plan and had Ridolfi put it to “the 110 of the Grand Duke” (an open code), who praised it and sent a courier to the Grand Duke.
- The French fleet. There is no further news of it. A felucca arrived in Rome reports hearing along the shores that it had reached the Gulf of La Spezia. Ridolfi hears that troops cannot be brought through the Garfagnana, the mountains being still full of snow, so that a landing and a march through the Val di Taro into the Parmesan seems more likely, which makes the long talks of Souvré with “that Duke” in the name of the French more suspect.
- Vendôme and the Huguenots. The Duke of Vendôme writes of the resolution of the Huguenots to rise and of his own to make himself their head. Ridolfi has shown the original letters to the Signor Almirante, who would give the Duke the twelve thousand ducats that His Majesty once ordered to be paid to him.
- Bouillon. The business is where it was, with the same promise that the document asked for will be given at once.
The end of page 4 and page 5, in the spelling of the cipher, with the nomenclator values in braces:
alla quale non poso dir altro del negotio di Buglione / stano senpre nei medesimi termini / ma con le medesime parole che mi sara data subito la scrittura richiesta / et io non uorei che con la lunghezza / disperato Buglione si acordase con li {Francesi} / poi che il {Cardinale} Mazarino senpre gli fara dop[p]iar le oferte
Di Roma li 8 Maggio 1646 (in clear)
“To whom I can say nothing more about the business of Bouillon: they are still on the same terms, but with the same words, that the document asked for will be given to me at once. And I would not want that, with the delay, Bouillon in despair should come to terms with the French, since Cardinal Mazarin will always double his offers to him. Rome, 8 May 1646.” In that passage termini, lunghezza and oferte are restored words.
The contributor counts 431 words, each nomenclator group as one word, in four classes.
| Class | Words | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| certain | 378 | every group read directly with the key |
| probable | 27 | 21 nomenclator values given by the sense, and 6 words whose spelling or division is uncertain |
| restored | 21 | one group of the transcription changed, or a group supplied |
| unresolved | 5 | the nomenclator codes without a value |
Certain and probable words together are 405 of 431, or 94.0%, under this project’s bar of 95% for a complete reading; with the restored words it would be 98.8%. The project recounted the reading file and found the same four numbers. One caution on the 94.0%: it takes as read the 21 nomenclator values that rest on the sense alone. Leaving those out as well gives 384 of 431, or 89.1%.
The writer’s position, and the war the letter belongs to, are not stated in the contributor’s files beyond what the text itself says. His notes add that May 1646 is the month of the French expedition against the Tuscan presidios. (This background is the contributor’s and was not checked here.) The identifications he offers in the translation are marked tentative there: the river “Lenza” as the Enza, “that Duke” as the Duke of Parma, the Almirante as the Admiral of Castile.
05 What remains uncertain
The grades are the contributor’s. Those of pages 1 to 4 are the key proposer’s and were not audited word by word by a second reader. No reading here comes from a key source or a clear text of the time, so none is graded H or C.
The 21 restored words. Each supposes that one group of the transcription was misread or left out. The reference is the page and line of the transcription where the word stands.
| Place | Transcribed | Read as | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 74 (du) | 34 (l) | i-du papa → il papa |
| 1.08 | nothing | 72 (di) | lo stato Milano → lo stato di Milano |
| 1.12 | 79 (tu) | 73 (do) | quan-tu → quando |
| 1.17 | 24 (u) | 34 (l) | i-u → il |
| 1.17 | 22/27 | 27 (c) | ata-i-atto → atacatto (attaccato) |
| 2.01 | 66 (ne) | 68 (no) | lontane → lontano |
| 2.01 | 62 (lo) | 61 (li) | mig-lo-a → miglia |
| 2.04 | 61 (li) | 65 (na) | Bolog-li → Bologna |
| 2.05 | 61 (li) | 68 (no) | Mila-li → Milano |
| 2.13 | 36 (n) | 38 (p) | n-e-r-che → perche |
| 3.08 | 74 (du) | 73 (do) | quan-du → quando |
| 3.12 | 24 (u) | 34 (l) | a-u fiume → al fiume |
| 3.20 | 243/23 | 23 (o) | ris-[243]-lutione → risolutione |
| 4.02 | 42 (s) | 41 (r) | lo-s-o → loro |
| 4.04 | 74 (du) | 34 (l) | a-du → al |
| 4.04 | 37 (o) | 33 (i) | sognor → signor |
| 4.05 | 74 (du) | 34 (l) | a-du detto → al detto |
| 4.13 | 30 (f) | 36 (n) | ma-f-dero → mandero |
| 4.18 | 68/67 | 67 (ni) | termino → termini (the group heads line 4.19; the contributor’s list gives it as 68 read for 67) |
| 5.03 | 47 (outside the key) | z | lunghe[47]za → lunghezza |
| 5.07 | 26 (b) | 76 (te) | ofe-r-b → oferte |
The nineteen of pages 1 to 4 are in a list which, by the contributor’s account, was hashed before page 5 was decoded. Three of them take the second reading that the transcription itself carries for a doubtful group (22/27, 243/23, 68/67), one supplies a group, and fifteen change one digit; 74 is read as 34 three times and 24 as 34 twice. The integration went over each against the transcription and the key: none contradicts a letter read with certainty, and none can be confirmed without the images. A blind re-reading of those groups on the images has not been done.
The nomenclator. Five codes have no value. The contributor’s key file notes what each should be from its place in the sentence: 103 a French province or town (the Huguenots “of 103”), 110 a title such as ambassador or resident (“the 110 of the Grand Duke”), 115 a title before Souvré, 116 a place (Genoa?), 136 a place (Modena?). The seven codes with a value occur 21 times: 107 Gran Duca six times, 121 Francesi five, 126 V.E. three, 114 Duca three, 101 Sua Santità twice, 100 Sua Maestà and 108 Cardinale once each. All rest on the sense; no nomenclator of Ridolfi is known. The contributor’s notes say a second letter of his in this cipher would test them.
The six other probable words are spellings or word divisions: cinqueceto, spiagge, Lenza, Soure, stano, doppiar.
The transcription was made by AI agents in four passes on enlarged strips and has not been checked by a palaeographer; the reading was made by AI readers only. The project read the reading clause by clause against the decryption and the translation, and did not see the images.
What the contributor’s notes record of the other routes: no other Ridolfi cipher was found in OSUNA; no decipherment or clear copy lies with D.107, and two Simancas pieces of 1645 naming Ridolfi (AGS EST LEG 3600,146–147) are clear copies on another matter, known from their descriptions only; the table in D.106 is ruled out because 40 = q does not fit it; no edition was found.
Full texts
The transcription and the decryption of every document on this page, so that the reading can be used and checked. Short files are shown here; all are in the repository.
D.107, pp. 1-5, Ridolfi to Arcos, Rome 8 May 1646 read in part
The Pope has refused Don Antonio Ronquillo passage for 500 horse sent by the viceroy to help the Grand Duke of Tuscany, but would grant it towards Milan; Ridolfi advises accepting, since from Forlì the cavalry can turn into Tuscany if the French attack. News of the French fleet near La Spezia; a landing towards the Val di Taro and the Parmesan is more likely; Souvré's talks with 'that Duke'; Vendôme and the Huguenots' plan to rise; the Almirante would pay Vendôme 12,000 ducats; the Bouillon negotiation is stuck and Ridolfi fears Bouillon will come to terms with the French, Mazarin always doubling his offers.
Builds coherent sentences, but under the read bar of 95% of words read as sense (94% here); the holes are marked in the reading.
Transcription
# ridolfi1646 - transcription v1 of AHNOB OSUNA,C.3456,D.107 pp. 1-5 (Ludovico Ridolfi, Rome, 8 May 1646) # One line per line of the letter. Groups of 2 digits (letters, syllables) and 3 digits (nomenclator) as written; # X = the barred sign used as punctuation; a trailing ' = superscript dot over the group; a/b = two possible # readings of a doubtful group (the first is used by the decryption). Made sign by sign from the PARES images # (four passes on enlarged strips, 28 Oct 2026) and frozen before any key existed; page 5 was transcribed with # pages 1-4 but never decoded until the single held-out measurement. "Di Roma li 8 Maggio 1646" is in clear. # No image is included (fonds of the Archivo Historico de la Nobleza; see NOTES.md). ## page 1 1.01 X 82 25 97 40 24 29 42 75 54 43 77 65 22 74 38 20 1.02 38 25 32 20 66 80 78 25 34 42 33 31 68 41 73 36 20 1.03 36 78 67/63 23 41 37 36 98 34 62 X 22 34 38 25 42' 1.04 23 38 29 41 61 27 22 36 40 24 21 27 29 78 27 20 1.05 24 25 34 61 X 64 126 24 23 34 54 36 70 41 29 33 1.06 36 42 37 27' 23 41 42 37 71 34 107 X 54 32 20 71 1.07 43 78 64 62 27 23 36 27 21 71 41 29 26 50 38 21 41 1.08 62 42 75 78 56 59 68 X 33 37 32 23 38 41 37 38 1.09 23 42 78 25 34 42 33 31 68 41 73 36 25 36 78 67/63 1.10 23 X 97 25 27' 29 43 77 33 34 38 20 42' 37 66 34 1.11 59 89 41 54 64 101 24 23 34 27 37 36 27 21 71 41 1.12 62 X 38 29 41 97 40 24 25 36 79 40 24 21 42 75 1.13 27 20 24 25 34 60 41 33 20 42 25 41 20 66 34 59 1.14 27 22 43 75 72 89 41 61 66 34 59 41 37 54 31 65 1.15 X 38/78 29 41 73 24 21 29 22 34 27 25 56 68 72 41 1.16 33 43 78 24 29 41 42 37 52 62 31 65 X 42 29 1.17 22 24 107 42 25 41 20 42 75 78 25 75 22/27 20 1.18 43 78 70 33 121 X 21 43 32 25 24 29 41 20 51 1.19 42 37 31 68 72 40 24 21 42 78 42 37 27 23 1.20 41 42 37 X 38 23 43 41 25 36 68 29 36 43 41 1.21 25 41 21 66 34 62 42 75 78 71/21 34 107 X 68 36 1.22 29 42' 21 36 73 22 34 27/22 23 36 87/83 68 38 22 24 ## page 2 2.01 62 36 75 66 72 73 72 27 22 56 31 62 20 X 54 2.02 40 24 25 36 73 33 34 107 68 36 32 20 26 51 25 2.03 51 42 37 31 68 X 42 29 31 24 22 76 41 25 36 68 22 2.04 34 27/22 20 56 68 24 21 41 42 37 52 62 31 61 29 24 21 2.05 41 42 37 62 42 75 78 72 56 59 61 X 22 34 38 20 2.06 41 77 78 29 38 33 25 27 22 24 78 20 73 36 25 2.07 36 78 67 23 X 29 43 32 20 24 23 63 78 64 33 2.08 37 66 38 25 41 61 20 34 110 72 107 X 64 34 32 2.09 25 62 70 78 31 41 20 36 71 55 36 76 X 29 66 32 2.10 20 72 42 38 25 27' 33 20 78 27 23 41' 22 29 2.11 41 37 25 34 107 X 29 27 41 21 73 25/23 36 27/22 37 2.12 41 20 64 33 36 37 31 67 27 20 42 37 42 33 25 2.13 38 29 41 38 33 20 27/22 21 41 29 25 101 X 36 29 2.14 41 97 68 36 74 51 76 41 20 64 61 121 42 33 73 2.15 34 31 32 33 68 64 32 25 26 51 20 85 43' 75 44 65 2.16 68 24 22 75 X 71 34 59 25 41 54 75 121 68 36 2.17 27 33 29 25 34 43 41 37 20 24 22 42 23 X 72 2.18 27 29 50 66 24 65 86 63 27 20 25 41' 33 24 2.19 25 75 22 36 41 37 54 72 32 20 24 21 41 42 2.20 29 36 77'/22' 78 38 21 41 40 24 21' 42' 76 42 38 33 20 2.21 31 82 29 64 90 42'/412' 29 82/62 24 36 75 66 34 83 2.22 34 89 71 34 60 42 38 21 77 29 X 54 40 24 25 36 2.23 73 ## page 3 3.01 34 25 24 22 42 37 90 42' 29 44 21 41 37 X 126 66 3.02 32 25 24 29 41 21 26 50 41 33 27 29 24 78 27 23 3.03 41' 22 21 41 37 70 116 X 54 22 37 42 29 36 78 64 3.04 68 36 42 22 20 38 37 42' 33 51 60 64 59 81 36 76 3.05 42 33 27 23 36 74 27 20 38 29 41 59 27 25 41 85 3.06 31 65 36 20 25 136 X 38 21 41 29 42' 21 41 25 36 3.07 27 23 41 20 40 44 21 34 60 57 36 75 31 66 38 33 29 3.08 66 72 66 24 21 X 29 64 38 21 41 37 40 24 25 36 74 3.09 71 26 49 25 36 70 41 21 66 34 62 42 75 78 72 56 59 3.10 68 38 20 41 21 38 33 44 24 21 41 22 42 33 56 60 3.11 64 42 49 41 98 59 42 37 34 70 76 42 27 25 20 3.12 24 87 24 55 71 34 59 60 36 91 X 21 64 38 29 41 3.13 59 24 25 34 72 75 41 37 42 22 27 23 36 74 27 3.14 20 66 34 38 25 41 56 82 20 68 X 72 97 85 54 3.15 31 82 37 41 55 36 76 42 23 42 38 29 43 75 41 29 3.16 64 22 34 115 72 42 23 24 41 29 42 33 25 42 3.17 75/25 78 63 36 80 55 36 76 20 66 83 77 25 41 29 3.18 27 23 36 40 44 21 34 114 22 36 68 55 71 33 121 3.19 X 22 34 114 72 24 25 36 73 57 56 42 27 41 33 24 3.20 21 59 41 33 42 243/23 63 77 37 66 71 34 61 44 83 3.21 68 43 77 72 103 72 42 23 34 60 44 20 41 42 33 ## page 4 4.01 X 29 59 42 24 25 72 85 41 42 33 27 20 38 23 4.02 62 42 37 X 29 43 33 23 32 37 85 43 78 24 21 4.03 71 41 29 60 34 21 43 76 41 29 23 41 22 82 65 61 4.04 25 74 42 37 31 68 41 25 56 41 20 36 76 X 33 34 4.05 40 24 25 60 44 37 41 29 26 50 70 41 29 25 74 71 4.06 43 78 114 X 61 73 72' 27 22 56 59 74 27/22 20 77 4.07 64 100 27 23 54 36 73 82 25 64 31 61 90 42' 29 4.08 41 37 38 25 80 77 X 38 23 22 97 42 29 66 4.09 24 23 41 21 26 50 38 41 29 24 25 60 41 21 38 21 4.10 41 85 41 61 42 52 41 42 20 41 29 25 33 27 20 4.11 38 22 71 34 61 24 83 68 43 77 X 40 24' 25 4.12 36 73 22 37 32 25 26 51 20 24 36 38 37 27 23 4.13 72 76 36 38 23 54 30 71 41 37 59 27 23 38 4.14 33 25 71 34 59 71 43 75 60 43 76 41 20 72 24/74 4.15 25 36 73 57 25 126 X 20 34 59 40 24 25 60 68 4.16 36 38 23 42' 37 72 41 25 34 43 41 37 71 34 66 4.17 83 77 23 72 53 31 61 23 66 X 42 75 36 23 42 4.18 29 36 38 41 21 66 22 55 71 42 33 56 76 41 56 4.19 68/67 X 54 27 23 36 60 55 71 42 22 55 38 20 41 37 4.20 60 64 56 42 25 41 20 70 75 42 44 51 78/28 59 ## page 5 5.01 42 27 41 33 43 79/29 41 20 41 33 98 29 42 75 X 5.02 21 43 22 23 68 36 44 37 41' 29 22 64 27 23 36 5.03 59 63 36 31 32 21 47 91 X 72 42 38 29 41 25 5.04 78 53 31 61 23 66 42 33 25 27 23 41 70 42' 29 27 5.05 23 36 61 121 X 38 37 33 97 22 34 108 54 91 5.06 41 33 68 42 21 36 38 41 29 31 61 85 41 20 73 5.07 38 22 25 41 60 37 86 41 26
Decryption
# ridolfi1646 - mechanical decryption of transcription.txt with key.tsv, no correction. # "·" separates groups; ". " = X; [nnn] = nomenclator group (no value applied); [nn?] = 2-digit group outside the key; # superscript dots dropped; first reading of a/b alternatives. Pages 1-4: the key proposer's output, reproduced # identically by our own decoder; page 5: the raw output of the single held-out measurement (frozen/mesure.out). 1.01 . ·gi·a·che·q·u·e·s·ta·ma·t·ti·na·i·du·p·a· 1.02 p·a·h·a·ne·ga·to·a·l·s·i·g·no·r·do·n·a· 1.03 n·to·ni·o·r·o·n·chi·l·lo·. ·i·l·p·a·s· 1.04 o·p·e·r·li·c·i·n·q·u·e·c·e·to·c·a· 1.05 u·a·l·li·. ·che·[126]·u·o·l·ma·n·da·r·e·i· 1.06 n·s·o·c·o·r·s·o·de·l·[107]·. ·ma·h·a·de· 1.07 t·to·che·lo·c·o·n·c·e·de·r·e·b·be·p·e·r· 1.08 lo·s·ta·to·mi·la·no·. ·i·o·h·o·p·r·o·p· 1.09 o·s·to·a·l·s·i·g·no·r·do·n·a·n·to·ni· 1.10 o·. ·che·a·c·e·t·ti·i·l·p·a·s·o·ne·l· 1.11 la·fo·r·ma·che·[101]·u·o·l·c·o·n·c·e·de·r· 1.12 lo·. ·p·e·r·che·q·u·a·n·tu·q·u·e·s·ta· 1.13 c·a·u·a·l·le·r·i·a·s·a·r·a·ne·l·la· 1.14 c·i·t·ta·di·fo·r·li·ne·l·la·r·o·ma·g·na· 1.15 . ·p·e·r·do·u·e·e·i·l·c·a·mi·no·di·r· 1.16 i·t·to·u·e·r·s·o·bo·lo·g·na·. ·s·e· 1.17 i·u·[107]·s·a·r·a·s·ta·to·a·ta·i·a· 1.18 t·to·da·i·[121]·. ·e·t·h·a·u·e·r·a·bi· 1.19 s·o·g·no·di·q·u·e·s·to·s·o·c·o· 1.20 r·s·o·. ·p·o·t·r·a·n·no·e·n·t·r· 1.21 a·r·e·ne·l·lo·s·ta·to·de·l·[107]·. ·no·n· 1.22 e·s·e·n·do·i·l·c·o·n·fi·no·p·i·u· 2.01 lo·n·ta·ne·di·do·di·c·i·mi·g·lo·a·. ·ma· 2.02 q·u·a·n·do·i·l·[107]·no·n·h·a·b·bi·a· 2.03 bi·s·o·g·no·. ·s·e·g·u·i·te·r·a·n·no·i· 2.04 l·c·a·mi·no·u·e·r·s·o·bo·lo·g·li·e·u·e· 2.05 r·s·o·lo·s·ta·to·di·mi·la·li·. ·i·l·p·a· 2.06 r·ti·to·e·p·i·a·c·i·u·to·a·do·n·a· 2.07 n·to·ni·o·. ·e·t·h·a·u·o·lu·to·che·i· 2.08 o·ne·p·a·r·li·a·l·[110]·di·[107]·. ·che·l·h· 2.09 a·lo·da·to·g·r·a·n·de·me·n·te·. ·e·ne·h· 2.10 a·di·s·p·a·c·i·a·to·c·o·r·i·e· 2.11 r·o·a·l·[107]·. ·e·c·r·e·do·a·n·c·o· 2.12 r·a·che·i·n·o·g·ni·c·a·s·o·s·i·a· 2.13 p·e·r·p·i·a·c·e·r·e·a·[101]·. ·n·e· 2.14 r·che·no·n·du·bi·te·r·a·che·li·[121]·s·i·do· 2.15 l·g·h·i·no·che·h·a·b·bi·a·fa·t·ta·u·na· 2.16 no·u·i·ta·. ·de·l·la·a·r·ma·ta·[121]·no·n· 2.17 c·i·e·a·l·t·r·o·a·u·i·s·o·. ·di· 2.18 c·e·be·ne·u·na·fe·lu·c·a·a·r·i·u· 2.19 a·ta·i·n·r·o·ma·di·h·a·u·e·r·s· 2.20 e·n·ti·to·p·e·r·q·u·e·s·te·s·p·i·a· 2.21 g·gi·e·che·fu·s·e·gi·u·n·ta·ne·l·go· 2.22 l·fo·de·l·le·s·p·e·ti·e·. ·ma·q·u·a·n· 2.23 do· 3.01 l·a·u·i·s·o·fu·s·e·u·e·r·o·. ·[126]·ne· 3.02 h·a·u·e·r·e·b·be·r·i·c·e·u·to·c·o· 3.03 r·i·e·r·o·da·[116]·. ·ma·i·o·s·e·n·to·che· 3.04 no·n·s·i·a·p·o·s·i·bi·le·che·la·ge·n·te· 3.05 s·i·c·o·n·du·c·a·p·e·r·la·c·a·r·fa· 3.06 g·na·n·a·a·[136]·. ·p·e·r·e·s·e·r·a·n· 3.07 c·o·r·a·q·u·e·l·le·mo·n·ta·g·ne·p·i·e· 3.08 ne·di·ne·u·e·. ·e·che·p·e·r·o·q·u·a·n·du· 3.09 de·b·ba·a·n·da·r·e·ne·l·lo·s·ta·to·di·mi·la· 3.10 no·p·a·r·e·p·i·u·u·e·r·i·s·i·mi·le· 3.11 che·s·ba·r·chi·la·s·o·l·da·te·s·c·a·a· 3.12 u·fi·u·me·de·l·la·le·n·za·. ·e·che·p·e·r· 3.13 la·u·a·l·di·ta·r·o·s·i·c·o·n·du·c· 3.14 a·ne·l·p·a·r·mi·gi·a·no·. ·di·che·fa·ma· 3.15 g·gi·o·r·me·n·te·s·o·s·p·e·t·ta·r·e· 3.16 che·i·l·[115]·di·s·o·u·r·e·s·i·a·s· 3.17 ta·to·lu·n·ga·me·n·te·a·ne·go·ti·a·r·e· 3.18 c·o·n·q·u·e·l·[114]·i·n·no·me·de·i·[121]· 3.19 . ·i·l·[114]·di·u·a·n·do·mo·mi·s·c·r·i·u· 3.20 e·la·r·i·s·[243]·lu·ti·o·ne·de·l·li·u·go· 3.21 no·t·ti·di·[103]·di·s·o·l·le·u·a·r·s·i· 4.01 . ·e·la·s·u·a·di·fa·r·s·i·c·a·p·o· 4.02 lo·s·o·. ·e·t·i·o·h·o·fa·t·to·u·e· 4.03 de·r·e·le·l·e·t·te·r·e·o·r·i·gi·na·li· 4.04 a·du·s·o·g·no·r·a·mi·r·a·n·te·. ·i·l· 4.05 q·u·a·le·u·o·r·e·b·be·da·r·e·a·du·de· 4.06 t·to·[114]·. ·li·do·di·c·i·mi·la·du·c·a·ti· 4.07 che·[100]·c·o·ma·n·do·gi·a·che·g·li·fu·s·e· 4.08 r·o·p·a·ga·ti·. ·p·o·i·che·s·e·ne· 4.09 u·o·r·e·b·be·p·r·e·u·a·le·r·e·p·e· 4.10 r·fa·r·li·s·bo·r·s·a·r·e·a·i·c·a· 4.11 p·i·de·l·li·u·go·no·t·ti·. ·q·u·a· 4.12 n·do·i·o·h·a·b·bi·a·u·n·p·o·c·o· 4.13 di·te·n·p·o·ma·f·de·r·o·la·c·o·p· 4.14 i·a·de·l·la·de·t·ta·le·t·te·r·a·di·u· 4.15 a·n·do·mo·a·[126]·. ·a·l·la·q·u·a·le·no· 4.16 n·p·o·s·o·di·r·a·l·t·r·o·de·l·ne· 4.17 go·ti·o·di·bu·g·li·o·ne·. ·s·ta·n·o·s· 4.18 e·n·p·r·e·ne·i·me·de·s·i·mi·te·r·mi· 4.19 no·. ·ma·c·o·n·le·me·de·s·i·me·p·a·r·o· 4.20 le·che·mi·s·a·r·a·da·ta·s·u·bi·to·la· 5.01 s·c·r·i·t·tu·r·a·r·i·chi·e·s·ta·. 5.02 e·t·i·o·no·n·u·o·r·e·i·che·c·o·n 5.03 la·lu·n·g·h·e·[47?]·za·. ·di·s·p·e·r·a 5.04 to·bu·g·li·o·ne·s·i·a·c·o·r·da·s·e·c 5.05 o·n·li·[121]·. ·p·o·i·che·i·l·[108]·ma·za 5.06 r·i·no·s·e·n·p·r·e·g·li·fa·r·a·do 5.07 p·i·a·r·le·o·fe·r·b
Reading
# ridolfi1646 - reading of the cipher (Italian, spelling of the letter)
Marks: plain = certain (every group read directly with key.tsv); {x} = probable (encipherer's spelling or word division
uncertain, or a nomenclator value given by the sense only: {value}⁽code⁾); [x] = restored (one group of transcription v1
corrected, or a group supplied; list below); ‹nnn› = unresolved nomenclator group; / = the X sign (punctuation).
Spelling of the cipher kept (u = u/v; consonants written single, the superscript dot marking some doubles: paso, socorso,
acetti, coriero; n for m before p: senpre, tenpo). Reference = page.line where the clause starts.
Pages 1-4: reading by the key proposer (Claude Fable 5.2), from its raw decryption, which our own decoder reproduces
identically; page 5: reading by a Claude Opus 5.5 agent after the single held-out measurement (frozen/LECTURE-p5.txt).
## Reading, clause by clause
- 1.01: Gia che questa mattina [il] Papa ha negato al Signor Don Antonio Ronchillo /
- 1.03: il paso per li {cinqueceto} caualli /
- 1.05: che {V.E.}⁽126⁾ uol mandare in socorso del {Gran Duca}⁽107⁾ /
- 1.06: ma ha detto che lo concederebbe per lo stato [di] Milano /
- 1.08: io ho proposto al Signor Don Antonio /
- 1.10: che acetti il paso nella forma che {Sua Santita}⁽101⁾ uol concederlo /
- 1.12: perche [quando] questa caualleria sara nella citta di Forli nella Romagna /
- 1.15: per doue e il camino diritto uerso Bologna /
- 1.16: se [il] {Gran Duca}⁽107⁾ sara stato [atacatto] dai {Francesi}⁽121⁾ /
- 1.18: et hauera bisogno di questo socorso /
- 1.20: potranno entrare nello stato del {Gran Duca}⁽107⁾ /
- 1.21: non esendo il confino piu [lontano] di dodici [miglia] /
- 2.01: ma quando il {Gran Duca}⁽107⁾ non habbia bisogno /
- 2.03: seguiteranno il camino uerso [Bologna] e uerso lo stato di [Milano] /
- 2.05: il partito e piaciuto a Don Antonio /
- 2.07: et ha uoluto che io ne parli al ‹110› di {Gran Duca}⁽107⁾ /
- 2.08: che l ha lodato grandemente /
- 2.09: e ne ha dispaciato coriero al {Gran Duca}⁽107⁾ /
- 2.11: e credo ancora che in ogni caso sia per piacere a {Sua Santita}⁽101⁾ /
- 2.13: [perche] non dubitera che li {Francesi}⁽121⁾ si dolghino che habbia fatta una nouita /
- 2.16: della armata {Francesi}⁽121⁾ non ci e altro auiso /
- 2.17: dice bene una feluca ariuata in Roma di hauer sentito per queste {spiagge} che fuse giunta nel Golfo delle Spetie /
- 2.22: ma quando l auiso fuse uero /
- 3.01: {V.E.}⁽126⁾ ne hauerebbe riceuto coriero da ‹116› /
- 3.03: ma io sento che non sia posibile che la gente si conduca per la Carfagnana a ‹136› /
- 3.06: per eser ancora quelle montagne piene di neue /
- 3.08: e che pero [quando] debba andare nello stato di Milano pare piu uerisimile che sbarchi la soldatesca [al] fiume della {Lenza} /
- 3.12: e che per la Ual di Taro si conduca nel Parmigiano /
- 3.14: di che fa maggiormente sospettare che il ‹115› di {Soure} sia stato lungamente a negotiare con quel {Duca}⁽114⁾ in nome dei {Francesi}⁽121⁾ /
- 3.19: il {Duca}⁽114⁾ di Uandomo mi scriue la [risolutione] delli Ugonotti di ‹103› di solleuarsi /
- 4.01: e la sua di farsi capo [loro] /
- 4.02: et io ho fatto uedere le lettere originali [al] [Signor] Amirante /
- 4.04: il quale uorebbe dare [al] detto {Duca}⁽114⁾ /
- 4.06: li dodici mila ducati che {Sua Maesta}⁽100⁾ comando gia che gli fusero pagati /
- 4.08: poi che se ne uorebbe preualere per farli sborsare ai capi delli Ugonotti /
- 4.11: quando io habbia un poco di tenpo [mandero] la copia della detta lettera di Uandomo a {V.E.}⁽126⁾ /
- 4.15: alla quale non poso dir altro del negotio di Buglione /
- 4.17: {stano} senpre nei medesimi [termini] /
- 4.19: ma con le medesime parole che mi sara data subito la
- 5.01: scrittura richiesta /
- 5.02: et io non uorei che con la [lunghezza] /
- 5.03: disperato Buglione si acordase con li {Francesi}⁽121⁾ /
- 5.05: poi che il {Cardinale}⁽108⁾ Mazarino senpre gli fara {doppiar} le [oferte]
Then in clear: "Di Roma li 8 Maggio 1646".
## Count (Daniel's rule: certain + probable over all words; restored words not counted)
431 words (each nomenclator group counts as one word; 26 nomenclator groups): 378 certain, 27 probable, 21 restored,
5 unresolved.
- **certain + probable = 405/431 = 94.0%**: under the 95% bar, so **read in part**;
- with the 21 restored words: 426/431 = 98.8% (the count of our own working file, frozen/RESULTAT.md);
- certain alone: 87.7%.
Per page (certain / probable / restored / unresolved): p. 1 89/7/7/0; p. 2 96/7/3/1; p. 3 87/6/3/4; p. 4 83/4/6/0;
p. 5 23/3/2/0 (frozen/scripts/decompte.out).
Of the 27 probable words, 21 are nomenclator values given by the sense alone (107 Gran Duca x6, 121 Francesi x5, 126 V.E. x3,
114 Duca x3, 101 Sua Santità x2, 100 Sua Maestà, 108 Cardinale); the 5 unresolved words are the codes 103, 110, 115, 116, 136.
The classes of pp. 1-4 are the proposer's; they were not re-audited word by word by a second reader.
## Restored words
| place | transcription v1 | read as | effect | kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 74 (du) | 34 (l) | i-du papa -> il papa | 3/7 confusion in the tens |
| 1.08 | (nothing) | 72 (di) | lo stato Milano -> lo stato di Milano | group omitted (the full formula recurs 3 times) |
| 1.12 | 79 (tu) | 73 (do) | quan-tu -> quando | 3/9 confusion in the units |
| 1.17 | 24 (u) | 34 (l) | i-u -> il | 2/3 confusion in the tens |
| 1.17 | 22/27 | 27 (c) | ata-i-atto -> atacatto (attaccato) | reading b of the transcription |
| 2.01 | 66 (ne) | 68 (no) | lontane -> lontano | 6/8 in the units |
| 2.01 | 62 (lo) | 61 (li) | mig-lo-a -> miglia | 1/2 in the units |
| 2.04 | 61 (li) | 65 (na) | Bolog-li -> Bologna | 1/5 in the units (cf. 1.16) |
| 2.05 | 61 (li) | 68 (no) | Mila-li -> Milano | 1/8 in the units |
| 2.13 | 36 (n) | 38 (p) | n-e-r-che -> perche | 6/8 in the units |
| 3.08 | 74 (du) | 73 (do) | quan-du -> quando | 3/4 in the units |
| 3.12 | 24 (u) | 34 (l) | a-u fiume -> al fiume | 2/3 in the tens |
| 3.20 | 243/23 | 23 (o) | ris-[243]-lutione -> risolutione | reading b of the transcription |
| 4.02 | 42 (s) | 41 (r) | lo-s-o -> loro | 1/2 in the units |
| 4.04 | 74 (du) | 34 (l) | a-du -> al | 3/7 in the tens |
| 4.04 | 37 (o) | 33 (i) | sognor -> signor | 3/7 in the units |
| 4.05 | 74 (du) | 34 (l) | a-du detto -> al detto | 3/7 in the tens |
| 4.13 | 30 (f) | 36 (n) | ma-f-dero -> mandero | 0/6 in the units |
| 4.18 | 68 (no) | 67 (ni) | termino -> termini | 7/8 in the units (or the encipherer's termine) |
| 5.03 | 47 (outside the key) | z | lunghe[47]za -> lunghezza | 47 not seen on pp. 1-4; z continues the alphabet 25-44 and 91 = za follows |
| 5.07 | 26 (b) | 76 (te) | ofe-r-b -> oferte | 2/7 confusion in the tens, the main confusion of this hand |
Most are one-digit confusions between shapes of this hand (2/3/7 in the tens, 1/2, 3/4, 6/8 in the units); a blind
re-reading of those groups on the images has not been done, so they stay restored. None contradicts certain letters.Translation
# ridolfi1646 - English translation of the cipher Translation of reading.md (Brice Dudout, with a Claude Opus 5.5 agent, 11 Nov 2026). Probable and restored words are not marked here (see reading.md); nomenclator values given by the sense are in square brackets with their code; unresolved codes are left as ‹code›. Identifications in round brackets are ours and tentative. This morning the Pope refused Signor Don Antonio Ronquillo passage for the five hundred horse that [Your Excellency, 126] wishes to send to the relief of the [Grand Duke, 107], but he said that he would grant it for the State of Milan. I have proposed to Signor Don Antonio that he accept the passage in the form in which [His Holiness, 101] is willing to grant it, because when this cavalry is in the city of Forlì in the Romagna, from where the road runs straight towards Bologna, if the [Grand Duke] has been attacked by the [French, 121] and needs this relief, they will be able to enter the State of the [Grand Duke], the border being no more than twelve miles away; but if the [Grand Duke] has no need of them, they will go on along the road towards Bologna and towards the State of Milan. The plan has pleased Don Antonio, and he wished me to speak of it to the ‹110› of the [Grand Duke], who praised it highly and has sent a courier to the [Grand Duke]. And I believe too that in any case it will please [His Holiness], for he will not fear that the [French] complain that he has made an innovation. Of the [French] fleet there is no further news. A felucca arrived in Rome does say that it heard along these shores that the fleet had reached the Gulf of La Spezia; but if the news were true, [Your Excellency] would have had a courier from ‹116›. But I hear that the troops cannot possibly be brought through the Garfagnana to ‹136›, those mountains being still full of snow, and that therefore, if they are to go into the State of Milan, it seems more likely that the soldiery will land at the river Lenza (the Enza?) and be led through the Val di Taro into the Parmesan. This makes one suspect all the more that the ‹115› de Souvré has been negotiating at length with that [Duke, 114] (of Parma?) in the name of the [French]. The [Duke] of Vendôme writes to me of the resolution of the Huguenots of ‹103› to rise, and of his own to make himself their head. I have had the original letters shown to the Signor Almirante (the Admiral of Castile?), who would like to give the said [Duke] the twelve thousand ducats that [His Majesty, 100] once ordered to be paid to him, since he would like to make use of them to have them paid out to the leaders of the Huguenots. When I have a little time I will send a copy of the said letter of Vendôme to [Your Excellency], to whom I can say nothing more about the business of Bouillon: they are still on the same terms, but with the same words, that the document asked for will be given to me at once. And I would not want that, with the delay, Bouillon in despair should come to terms with the [French], since the [Cardinal, 108] Mazarin will always double his offers to him. Rome, 8 May 1646 (in clear).
Key: key.tsv
06 Sources
- Toledo, Archivo Histórico de la Nobleza, OSUNA,C.3456,D.107: PARES description 6449375, five pages; the images are not reproduced here.
- Brice Dudout, pull request 403 and the target folder: the transcription, the key (CC BY 4.0), the frozen protocol, scripts and outputs of the test, the reading and the translation.
- Catalogue entry 748 (Daniel Bourdeau’s sweep of PARES, 27 October 2026), now narrowed to the two Ronquillo items.
The notes, the key, the transcription, the reading, the translation and the frozen test files are in targets/ridolfi1646.
Cite this page
Brice Dudout and Daniel Bourdeau, “Ludovico Ridolfi to the duque de Arcos, Rome, 8 May 1646”, Cyphersolver, posted 11 November 2026, https://cyphersolver.com/ridolfi1646.html.
